Wet and Windy and…of course… Waves

The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory through 4:00 am Wednesday morning. We’re currently heading towards a low tide. However at around 3:00 am, an 11 foot tide is predicted with high tide of 11.2 at 3:45 am Wednesday.  The National Weather Service has the winds peaking around midnight, which looks to be around 6:00 ft and should hopefully be a “non-event”.

Here is the Puget Sound Marine forecast:

PZZ135-090830-
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
317 PM PST TUE JAN 8 2013


…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
TONIGHT…S WIND 25 TO 35 KT…EASING TO 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT. RAIN.

WED…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.

WED NIGHT…W WIND 10 TO 20 KT…BECOMING SW 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FT OR LESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

National Weather Service Wind Advisory

…WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY…

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…SEATTLE…BREMERTON…BELLEVUE…
  TACOMA…OLYMPIA…FORKS…HOQUIAM…AND THE LAKE LAWRENCE AREA
  IN THURSTON COUNTY.

* TIMING…SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND PEAK
  AROUND MIDNIGHT.

* WIND…LOCAL SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS OF 45 TO
  50 MPH ARE LIKELY.

* IMPACTS…WHILE WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH SHOULD NOT CAUSE
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGE…THEY CAN BRING DOWN SMALL TREES AND
  BRANCHES. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

Seattle Area Forecast 

SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…SEATTLE…BREMERTON…SILVERDALE…
FEDERAL WAY…KENT
330 PM PST TUE JAN 8 2013

 

…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY…
TONIGHT…WINDY…RAIN. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH

WEDNESDAY…RAIN AT TIMES IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING… THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW LEVEL NEAR 500 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 10 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

Tis the Season for Wet and Windy Winter Weather

Monday’s storm was probably one of the worst we’ve personally experienced in our seven years living on Beach Drive. I was surprised to see how many neighbors were hit hard. 

2012 12 17 08 19 47 739
 

We typically get an extra dose with having a low driveway and neighbors  with lower bulkheads. This is one of the reasons why we put together our “barking dog” reports… just warn when we are doing extra preparation for possible flooding.  Our built in pump in the driveway is really intended to handle rain and an occasional slurp or splash from the sound. 

On Beach Drive Blog, we keep weather related links for your convenience under “Swell Links” to the right.  We have more wet and windy wintery weather ahead! 

Seattle area forecast:

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING…
REST OF TODAY…WINDY. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES. SNOW LEVEL NEAR THE SURFACE IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

TONIGHT…WINDY…RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THURSDAY…BREEZY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY NIGHT…BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

Puget Sound marine forecast: 

PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
900 AM PST WED DEC 19 2012

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
TODAY…S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN…MIXED WITH SNOW OVER HOOD CANAL AND AROUND EVERETT THIS MORNING.

TONIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 30 KT EASING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

THU…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT RISING TO 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS.

THU NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 4 FT.

On a similar note, did you see the Seattle Times article: Record High Tides wash in prospects for more in the future

Was this the worst flooding you’ve experienced?

Here are upcoming Seattle tides:

Tides 2012 12 19 0925
Tides 2012 12 19 0925

December 17, 2012 Storm Updates

Not a catchy title – sorry about that! I’m going to continue to update this post with the wild wind and waves we’re experiencing with this storm. I will continue to update this post with the newest information “on top” – under this intro.  

Tides: 5.5 at 2:22 pm and 9.5 at 7:22 pm. High Wind Warning in effect until noon today.

11:50 update:  I’m guessing this video is from around 6:00 – 6:30 this morning.

11:00 update: some of our photos 

2012 12 17 07 48 02 293
View from our deck looking down at our driveway
2012 12 17 08 00 31 429
Our garage – this is actually looking good!

10:50 – photos of some neighbors who had their basement apartment flood despite having pumps. 

 
photo 9
 

 

tree
tree

Update 10:37 am:   Learning that many neighbors, even those who had pumps, have flooded. Updated puget Sound Marine forecast below

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON…
TODAY…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT…EASING TO 20 TO 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 5 TO 7 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING…THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT…EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT SUBSIDING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

TUE…S WIND 5 TO 15 KT…BECOMING SW 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING…THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

TUE NIGHT…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

WED…S WIND 5 TO 15 KT…RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 2 FT…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT.

WED NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

THU…S WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS.

FRI…E WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FT.

We are still 2 hours away from a high tide of 12.9 at 8:17 am (plus the “anomoly” of 1.5 feet from the coastal flooding).

Video from about 6:30 am 

Update: 6:15 am:  The Seattle forecast (via UW) was updated 10 minutes ago with gusts now up to 60 mph and National Weather Service has issued a Wind Warning a half hour ago.

SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…SEATTLE…BREMERTON…SILVERDALE…
FEDERAL WAY…KENT
550 AM PST MON DEC 17 2012

…HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY…
…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PST THIS MORNING…

TODAY…VERY WINDY. SHOWERS BECOMING SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH…DECREASING AFTER NOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

TONIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING… THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TUESDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING… THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL NEAR 200 FEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING.

National Weather Service has issued a “Wind Warning” 

High Wind Warning
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
526 AM PST MON DEC 17 2012

WAZ505-508-172000-
/O.UPG.KSEW.WI.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-121218T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-121217T2000Z/
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-
526 AM PST MON DEC 17 2012

…HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SEATTLE METRO AREA…KITSAP
PENINSULA…AND EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS UNTIL NOON PST TODAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY. THIS REPLACES
THE WIND ADVISORY THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IN IN EFFECT.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…SEATTLE…BREMERTON…BELLEVUE…
  RENTON…BLACK DIAMOND…AND GRAHAM.

* WIND…FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH
  THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40
  MPH BY MIDDAY.

* IMPACTS…HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES…DOWN POWER LINES…
  DAMAGE PROPERTY…AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

MOTORISTS…ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES…SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN…STRONG CROSS WINDS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

Updated Forecast for Tonight and Monday Morning

SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…SEATTLE…BREMERTON…SILVERDALE…
FEDERAL WAY…KENT
330 PM PST SUN DEC 16 2012

…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST MONDAY…
…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM PST MONDAY.
..

TONIGHT…RAIN. BECOMING WINDY OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATE.

MONDAY…WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH EASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

MONDAY NIGHT…SHOWERS LIKELY AND BREEZY. WET SNOW POSSIBLE ON THE HILLS WITH UP TO 1 INCH ACCUMULATION. SNOW LEVEL NEAR 400 FEET. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH.

TUESDAY…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL NEAR 200 FEET. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

MARINE FORECAST

PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
230 PM PST SUN DEC 16 2012


…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...
TONIGHT…SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

MON…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 KT IN THE MORNING. WIND EASING TO 20 TO 30 KT MIDDAY. WIND WAVES 5 TO 7 FT. RAIN TURNING TO SHOWERS.

MON NIGHT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT…EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

TUE…SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT.

More updated details from the National Weather Service on the Wind Advisory and Coastal Flood Watch

Wind Advisory
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
215 PM PST SUN DEC 16 2012

WAZ505-507-508-170700-
/O.UPG.KSEW.HW.A.0009.121217T0800Z-121217T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.WI.Y.0037.121217T0600Z-121218T0000Z/
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-EVERETT AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-
215 PM PST SUN DEC 16 2012

…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST
MONDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST
MONDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…SEATTLE…EVERETT…BELLEVUE…AND
  BREMERTON.

* TIMING…THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY
  MORNING.

* WIND…WINDS WILL RAPIDLY RISE LATE TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST
  AT 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
  CONTINUE AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING…THEN EASE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS…WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES…
  TOPPLE SMALL OR SHALLOW ROOTED TREES…AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 45 TO 57 MPH ARE LIKELY.

Coastal Flood Advisory
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
204 PM PST SUN DEC 16 2012

…HIGH SURF WILL ARRIVE ALONG THE COAST MONDAY…
…MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS POSSIBLE AT HIGH TIDE MONDAY…

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH WESTERN
WASHINGTON EARLY MONDAY MORNING. TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN THE
TIDE TABLE PREDICTIONS MONDAY MORNING. HEAVY SURF WILL ALSO ARRIVE
ALONG THE COASTAL BEACHES MONDAY.

WAZ001-503-506>511-170745-
/O.UPG.KSEW.CF.A.0006.121217T1400Z-121217T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.CF.Y.0010.121217T1500Z-121217T1900Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
EVERETT AND VICINITY-SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
204 PM PST SUN DEC 16 2012

…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM PST
MONDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM PST
MONDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* HAZARD…TIDAL OVERFLOW IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE BEACHES.

* TIME OF HIGH TIDE…8 TO 930 AM.

* TIDE TABLE PREDICTION…12.9 FT SEATTLE...9.7 FT PORT
  TOWNSEND…10.5 FT CHERRY POINT.

* EXPECTED TIDAL ANOMALY…ADD 1.5 FEET TO THE TIDE TABLE PREDICTION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW INDICATES THAT
LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE SHORE MAY SEE MINOR FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE.

NOTE: This information is provide as a courtesy to our neighbors from information found on-line. Forecast change constantly… and we hope this one changes for the better!!

NWS issues Coastal Flooding Watch for Monday morning and High Wind Watch with Gusts up to 60 mph

Coastal Flood Watch
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
202 PM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

…TIDAL OVERFLOW AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH WESTERN WASHINGTON
MONDAY MORNING. HIGH TIDES AND BIG WAVES MAY PRODUCE TIDAL
OVERFLOW AND FLOODING NEAR THE BEACHES…

WAZ001-503-506>511-514-515-161230-
/O.NEW.KSEW.CF.A.0006.121217T1400Z-121217T1800Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
EVERETT AND VICINITY-SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
202 PM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

…COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY MORNING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH…WHICH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY MORNING.

* HAZARD…WAVES AND TIDAL ANOMALY AT HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS…TIDAL OVERFLOW AND FLOODING NEAR THE BEACHES.

* TIME OF HIGH TIDE…8 OR 9 AM.

* TIDE TABLE PREDICTION…12.9 FT SEATTLE…9.7 FT PORT
  TOWNSEND…10.5 FT CHERRY POINT.

* EXPECTED TIDAL ANOMALY…1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR
IF WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOP AS PREDICTED. RESIDENTS AND LOCAL
OFFICIALS SHOULD MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

High Wind Watch
URGENT – WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
851 PM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

…A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF HIGH WINDS
TO WESTERN WASHINGTON FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING…

.A 975 MB SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE COAST OF
WASHINGTON ON SUNDAY. LATEST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THE LOW
CENTER WILL MOVE ONTO THE WASHINGTON COAST EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AND
WILL HAVE A BIG IMPACT ON WHERE HIGH WINDS DEVELOP.

WAZ504-505-507>509-511-512-161400-
/O.CON.KSEW.HW.A.0009.121217T0800Z-121217T2000Z/
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-EVERETT AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-
851 PM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

…HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…SEATTLE…EVERETT…BELLEVUE…
  TACOMA…OLYMPIA…SHELTON…AND CHEHALIS.

* TIMING…SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RISE BEHIND A STRONG LOW
  PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

* WIND…SOUTHWEST WINDS RISING TO 25 TO 35 WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS…WINDS THIS STRONG CAN TOPPLE TREES…DOWN POWER
  LINES…AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A DAMAGING
WIND EVENT.

Potentially damaging weather coming aka a “Barking Dog Report”

It’s been a while since I’ve issued a “barking dog report”. Briefly, a “barking dog report” is when we are preparing for possible flooding due to extreme wind and waves. Hopefully a “barking dog” is just me sounding off, much like a neighbors dog, when they’re worried and there’s no real danger to worry about.  

The combo of the King Tides and what Mother Nature has forecast, has us concerned through Monday night. Below are the  reports we’re looking at. Forecast do change and you can click the links on the “Swell Links” column to the right to see the latest data. 

PS: Cliff Mass warns of a possible significant wind event on Monday too.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING…TODAY…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING S 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.

SUN…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN. SUN NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

MON…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT.  MON NIGHT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT…EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT

Seattle Tides:

Saturday, Dec 15: 

  • 13.0 ft at 6:51 am 
  • 6.7 ft at 12:24 pm
  • 11.2 ft at 5:19 pm [NOTE: 4 foot waves could be an issue even at 11.2 tides]

Sunday, Dec 16:

  • -2.7 at 12:15 am
  • 13.0 at 7:34 am
  • 6.1 at 1:21 pm
  • 10.4 at 6:18 pm

Monday, Dec 17:

  • -1.5 at 1:03 am
  • 12.9 at 8:17 am
  • 5.5 at 2:22 pm
  • 9.5 at 7:22 pm

National Weather Service... has the “S” word in the forecast…. SNOW!!  And currently has a special weather statement regarding the system that’s coming in.

Today: Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 10am. Snow level 900 feet. High near 42. South southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. South southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.


Sunday: Rain, mainly after 10am. High near 42. South wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 41. East southeast wind 7 to 15 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.


Monday: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 44. Windy, with a south wind 28 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday Night A chance of rain showers before 10pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of snow showers after 4am. Snow level 1000 feet lowering to 300 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.


Tuesday: A chance of snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of rain showers after 4pm. Snow level rising to 600 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday Night: Rain and snow likely. Snow level 600 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Seattle Forecast via UW:

TODAY…RAIN…MIXED WITH SNOW THIS MORNING. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH. TONIGHT…NUMEROUS SHOWERS…DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY…RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…RAIN AND BREEZY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

MONDAY…WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE MORNING…THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

If you have neighbors who tend to flood from the sound coming over the bulkhead, you may want to share this information with them. As I mentioned, I hope I’m just being a “barking dog” and worrying over nothing – however, we’ve found it really pays to be prepared when there is a possible weather event such as this.  

At the very least, you may want to get leaves out of the street and clear gutters to help the streets drain.

Stay in touch with us via our Facebook page www.facebook.com/beachdriveblog or Twitter @beachdriveblog

This weekend’s King Tides become a Royal Pain?

West Seattle Herald recently wrote about the King Tides that will be topping out at 13 feet along our shoreline this weekend… 

So called King Tides (a non-scientific term) simply refers to the very highest tides. They occur when the earth, moon and sun are aligned at perigee (when the moon is closest to earth) and perihelion (when the earth is closest to the sun), resulting in the largest tidal range seen during a year since the gravitational effects are magnified.

While NOAA does not expect additional tidal height due to coastal flooding, the Marine Forecast has issued southerly winds between 15/ 25 knots with 2-4 foot waves to boot during Saturday’s extreme high tide… 

PZZ135-122315-
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
900 AM PST WED DEC 12 2012

THU…S WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS. CHANCE OF RAIN.

THU NIGHT…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

FRI…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT…EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS.

FRI NIGHT…N WIND 5 TO 15 KT…BECOMING S TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS.

SAT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

SUN…SW WIND TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS.

Upcoming high tides:

Thursday +12.5 ft at 5:15AM also +12.1 at 3:30PM

Friday +12.8 ft at 6:30AM also +11.8 at 4:30PM

Saturday +13 ft at 7:00AM also +11.2 at 5:30PM

Sunday +13 ft at 8:00AM

Monday +12.9 ft at 8:30AM

Tuesday +12.7 ft at 9:00AM

Scupper, reporting for Beach Drive Blog
 

Photo of High Tide compliments of West Seattle Herald and David Rosen

This photo was taken by David Rosen at Charles Richey Sr Viewpoint off of Beach Drive

WSHDec4

Check out more photos of our weather via West Seattle Herald.

NWS issues Coastal Flood Advisory and Special Weather Statement on Landslides

Tis the Season! The National Weather Service has issued a Coastal Flood Advisory and Special Weather Statement warning of Landslides.

Coastal Flood Advisory
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
234 AM PST TUE DEC 4 2012

…MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING FOR PUGET SOUND.

HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND LOW PRESSURES FROM A FRONT MOVING ONSHORE WILL PRODUCE MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW FOR PARTS OF PUGET SOUND AND THE NORTH INTERIOR THIS MORNING….

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO NOON PST TODAY.

* HAZARD…MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW NEAR THE BEACHES.

* IMPACTS…MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE WATER AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* TIME OF HIGH TIDE…AROUND 9 AM AT SEATTLE.

* PREDICTED TIDE…11.93 FEET AT SEATTLE.

* EXPECTED TIDAL ANOMALY…1 TO 1.5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

And about those landslides:

… WITH AN ELEVATED LANDSLIDE RISK…RAINFALL INDUCED LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE DURING BURSTS OF INTENSE RAINFALL OR WHEN THERE IS HEAVY RAINFALL OVER A PERIOD OF A DAY OR TWO AS NOTED IN THE FORECAST ELEVATED RISK LEVEL. A GRADUALLY DIMINISHING RISK OF LANDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE RAIN ENDS. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES UNDER THESE CONDITIONS ARE STEEP COASTAL BLUFFS AND OTHER STEEP HILLSIDES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CURRENT CONDITIONS…VISIT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE…SELECT HYDROLOGY…AND THEN SCROLL DOWN FOR THE LINKS TO THE LANDSLIDE INFORMATION PAGES.

TO REPORT LANDSLIDES TO THE STATE FOR TABULATION…GO TO THE WASHINGTON STATE LANDSLIDE RISK WEB PAGE AND THE LINK FOR REPORTING.

NOTE: After clicking through the landslide tabs, the current warning level for King County as of December 3, 2012 is “low”.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

TODAY…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN SHOWERS.

TONIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.

WED…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING… THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

WED NIGHT…SW WIND TO 10 KT…BECOMING S 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS

Seattle area Forecast:

…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY…
TODAY…BREEZY. RAIN TURNING TO SHOWERS BEFORE NOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS MORNING.

TONIGHT…BREEZY. SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

WEDNESDAY…BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY…THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH EASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

National Weather Service Issues Coastal Flood Advisory through 11:00 am this morning

Did you wake up to waves pounding your bulkhead like we did? This morning’s high tide of 11.9 happened around 7:49 a.m. Seattle area tides will only go down to about a 7.9 at 1:41 pm and then back up to a 9.1 at 6:12 tonight.  The coastal flood advisory below says to add 1.5 to 2.0 feet to the tide table prediction.

The National Weather Service has issued a coastal flood advisory for the Seattle area:

..COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM PST THIS
MORNING…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM PST THIS
MORNING.

* HAZARD…MINOR FLOODING NEAR THE BEACHES FROM TIDAL OVERFLOW AT
  HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS…LOW LYING ROADS AND OTHER AREAS NEXT TO THE BEACHES
  AND TIDELANDS MAY SEE MINOR FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE.

* TIME OF HIGH TIDE AND PREDICTIONS…11.9 FEET AROUND 750 AM AT
  SEATTLE…12.4 FEET AROUND 750 AM AT TACOMA…8.5 FEET AROUND 840
  AM AT FRIDAY HARBOR…9.8 FEET AROUND 840 AM AT CHERRY POINT.

* EXPECTED TIDAL ANOMALY…ADD 1.5 TO 2.0 FEET TO THE TIDE TABLE
  PREDICTION
.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE

The Puget Sound Marine Forecast currently has 4-5 foot waves predicted most of this week:

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON…
TODAY…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT…RISING TO 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING…THEN SHOWERS LIKELY.

TONIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY.

MON…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY.

MON NIGHT…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…RISING TO 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT…BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

TUE…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

TUE NIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

WED…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

A Seattle area forecast also warns of possible coastal flooding until 11:00 a.m. today with southwest winds up to 30 mph:

…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM PST THIS MORNING…

TODAY…WINDY. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING…THEN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH.

TONIGHT…WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH.

MONDAY…BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT…WINDY…RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TUESDAY…WINDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.