All about the West Seattle neighborhood around Beach Drive
There was a massive response tonight for a fire that happened at 4400 Beach Drive SW. Thankfully we had a big ran today as the home boarders neighbors and Me Kwa Mooks Park. We don’t believe anyone was injured.
The home was sold a few months ago and currently being remodeled.
This afternoon, after a very rainy morning, some neighbors along the 5000 block of Beach Drive had a landslide. We are told that everyone is safe.
Good morning, neighbors! We are starting the day with a gale warning through 1:00 p.m. (current forecast as I write this just before 7:00 am).
Here’s the forecast using the blended model from Wind Alert.
High tide for today is predicted to be 12.53 feet at 7:41 am this morning…
…GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…South winds 25 to 35 kt gusting to 40 kt.
* WHERE…East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca, Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands, Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
* WHEN…Until 1 PM PST this afternoon.
* IMPACTS…Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.
The extended weather forecast shows the Coastal Flood Advisory until 10:00 am and a chance of light snow Wednesday night.
Happy New Year!
Please check your security camera for a hit and run that took place around 1:14 am last night, December 30, 2025. The car (silver sedan) was heading north about two blocks north of the Menashe home (the decked-out Christmas home) on Beach Drive.
Any additional footage that can help identify the car would be greatly appreciated.
I’m beginning to feel like “Gale” is an unwelcomed guest lately who keeps showing up uninvited. We never know for certain what time or how long she’ll stay or what type of damage she may cause. 😅
All joking aside, we currently have a Gale Watch and Wind Advisory set for tomorrow. The European and the American models tell two different stories with their forecast and, of course, the weather forecast can change at any time.
This is what we have now.
Wind Alert, which is a blended forecast weighted with NAM (American model) is showing GUSTS OF 60 around 4:00 pm on Wednesday.
The European model shows gusts closer to the upper 20s.
This is a screenshot from another ap that I use on my phone, Windy. The European model is on the left and the North American is on the right. Two very different forecasts for tomorrow.
This graphic is from NOAA which shows the current forecasted range in wind for Seattle, tomorrow at 1:00 pm ranges from 12 mph to 67 mph.
High tide on Wednesday, December 24, 2025 is a 12.34 feet at 8:27 am. Thankfully, tides will be lower when/if the forecasted winds arrive.
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM PST WEDNESDAY…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…South winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts ranging 40 to 50 mph
expected.
* WHERE…Portions of northwest and west central Washington.
* WHEN…From 10 AM to 6 PM PST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS…Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Localized wind gusts to 55 MPH possible.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicles. Secure outdoor objects.
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... …SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…South winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt possible.
* WHERE…Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
* WHEN…From Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.
* IMPACTS…Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Localized gusts of 45 kt possible.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.
Happy Holidays and Stay Safe, Neighbors!
Here we go again!
This is the current forecast from Wind Alert. The next high tide for our area is 10.75 feet just before 1:30 pm. The wind advisory currently starts at 4:00 pm with the gale warning starting at 6:00 pm.
Wednesday morning’s high tide of 11.18 feet at 4:49 am could be interesting.
…WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM PST WEDNESDAY…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 to 45 mph
expected.
* WHERE…Foothills and Valleys of the North Cascades, Lowlands of
Western Whatcom County, San Juan County, City of Seattle,
Eastside, Foothills and Valleys of Central King County, Foothills
and Valleys of Pierce and Southern King Counties, Foothills and
Valleys of Snohomish and Northern King Counties, and Shoreline /
Lynnwood / South Everett Area.
* WHEN…From 4 PM this afternoon to 6 AM PST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS…Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicles. Secure outdoor objects.
…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PST WEDNESDAY…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…Southwest winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt.
* WHERE…Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands
and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
* WHEN…From 6 PM this evening to 6 AM PST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS…Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.
Last but not least, the Special Weather Statement:
…HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE LAST WEEK INCLUDING TODAY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED THREAT OF LANDSLIDES IN WESTERN WASHINGTON…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
Rainfall from the past week has increased soil moisture to high
levels across western Washington. Additional rainfall of of one to
three inches is expected with the system today into Wednesday
morning. This amount of rain will continue to put extra pressure on
soil instability, leading to an increased threat of landslides and
debris flows, especially from recent burned areas. This rain event
could act as a trigger for new landslides.
Areas most susceptible to landslides debris flows under these
conditions are steep coastal bluffs, other steep hillsides or
road cuts, and recent burned areas. A diminishing threat of
landslides and debris flows will continue for several days after
the rain ends.
For more information about current conditions, visit
www.weather.gov/seattle, select Hydrology, and then scroll down
for the links to the landslide information pages.
For more information on landslides, visit the website for the
Washington State Department of Natural Resources landslide
geologic hazards at: http://bit.ly/2mtA3wn
We’re about to see what Mother Nature has in store for us and if the forecast holds true. Right now (just before 8 am on Monday) it seems pretty calm out. We just off of low tide and the next high tide of 11.03 feet is anticipated at just before 1:00 pm today.
Here’s what’s Wind Alert is currently forecasting for Alki Point.
Puget Sound and Hood Canal- 258 AM PST Mon Dec 15 2025
GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
TODAY S wind 25 to 35 kt, veering to SW 20 to 25 kt late. Waves 3 to 5 ft. Rain until late afternoon. A slight chance of tstms this afternoon. A chance of rain late.
TUESDAY NIGHT S wind 25 to 35 kt, veering to SW after midnight. Waves 4 to 6 ft. Rain.
Here’s a snapshot of all the warnings and advisory compliments of Wind Alert.
A breakdown from NOAA on what it all means.
Let’s start with Gale:
…GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PST THIS EVENING… …GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…For the Gale Warning, south winds 25 to 35 kt. For the
Gale Watch, southwest winds 30 to 40 kt possible.
* WHERE…Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands,
Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
* WHEN…For the Gale Warning, until 6 PM PST this evening. For
the Gale Watch, from Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.
* IMPACTS…Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.
…WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING… …HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…For the Wind Advisory, southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with
gusts up to 55 mph. For the High Wind Watch, southwest winds 25 to
45 mph with gusts 55 to 65 mph possible.
* WHERE…Portions of northwest and west central Washington.
* WHEN…For the Wind Advisory, until 10 PM PST this evening. For
the High Wind Watch, from Tuesday evening through Wednesday
morning.
* IMPACTS…Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles. Gusty winds could blow
around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few
power outages may result.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Due to saturated grounds from previous heavy
rain, expect more widespread impacts with these winds.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicles. Secure outdoor objects.
Secure outdoor objects.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT…HEAVY RAINFALL THIS WEEK WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED THREAT OF LANDSLIDES IN WESTERN WASHINGTON…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
Rainfall from the past week has increased soil moisture to high
levels across western Washington. Additional rainfall of around 2-6
inches is expected early this week. This amount of rain will put
extra pressure on soil instability, leading to an increased threat of
landslides and debris flows, especially from recent burned areas.
This rain event could act as a trigger for new landslides.
Areas most susceptible to landslides debris flows under these
conditions are steep coastal bluffs, other steep hillsides or
road cuts, and recent burned areas. A diminishing threat of
landslides and debris flows will continue for several days after
the rain ends.
For more information about current conditions, visit
www.weather.gov/seattle, select Hydrology, and then scroll down
for the links to the landslide information pages.
For more information on landslides, visit the website for the
Washington State Department of Natural Resources landslide
geologic hazards at: http://bit.ly/2mtA3wn
Stay safe neighbors!
Monday is looking like it could be a doozy with all of the forecasted weather warnings.
Let’s start with the timing of the tides. High tide is estimated to be just before 1:00 PM at 11.03 feet.
Now let’s get to what Wind Alert is showing for forecasted winds. According to this forecast, we may be seeing gusts in the 40’s starting at 3:00 AM and sticking around until 4:00 PM with the strongest gusts of 46 mph from 10:00 PM – 1:00 PM. Holy cats!
If this forecast holds true, we could be in for quite a storm with the potential of waves coming over seawalls.
Here are the current alerts as of the writing of this post (8:00 am on 12/14/25).
…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM PST MONDAY…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts 45 to 50 mph expected.
* WHERE…Portions of northwest and west central Washington.
* WHEN…From 10 PM this evening to 10 PM PST Monday.
* IMPACTS…Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Given the very saturated ground, expect that
impacts may be more widespread than normally associated with these
particular wind speeds.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicles. Secure outdoor objects.
…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST MONDAY...
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
* WHAT…South winds 25 to 35 kt.
* WHERE…East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca,
Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands,
Admiralty Inlet and Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
* WHEN…From 10 PM this evening to 4 PM PST Monday.
* IMPACTS…Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.
NOTE: 1 knot (kt) is 1.15078 mile per hour. So 25 knots = 28.76 mph.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
HEAVY RAINFALL THIS WEEK HAS LED TO AN INCREASED THREAT OF LANDSLIDES IN WESTERN WASHINGTON…
Issued by NWS Seattle WA
Rainfall of 2 to 12 inches over the past several days, with locally
higher amounts to 17 inches, has increased soil moisture to very
high levels across western Washington. This amount of rain will put
extra pressure on soil instability, leading to an increased threat of
landslides and debris flows, especially from recent burned areas.
Numerous landslides have already been reported in the western
Cascades in western Washington. More landslides are possible.
Areas most susceptible to landslides debris flows under these
conditions are steep coastal bluffs, other steep hillsides or
road cuts, and recent burned areas. A diminishing threat of
landslides and debris flows will continue for several days after
the rain ends.
For more information about current conditions, visit
www.weather.gov/seattle, select Hydrology, and then scroll down
for the links to the landslide information pages.
For more information on landslides, visit the website for the
Washington State Department of Natural Resources landslide
geologic hazards at: http://bit.ly/2mtA3wn
Stay safe neighbors!
There is a Wind Advisory in effect starting tonight at 8pm through 8pm Wednesday. Wind Alert‘s forecast seems to align with the advisory with the hot pink streak showing potential gusts in the 40’s.
If this forecast holds true, then we could see some water coming over with tomorrow’s high tide of 12.29 feet around 9:49 am with forecasted gusts of 42 from the southwest.
Of course, this all just a forecast and who knows what Mother Nature will have in store.
Stay safe neighbors!
A Gale Warning is in effect starting 10:00 am tomorrow, Monday, December 8, 2025 with a 12.73 foot tide at 8:16 am.
According to the current forecast from Wind Alert, winds will be potentially gusting 30 mph around 10:00 am and the low tide forecasted of 7.55 feet just before 2:00 pm while the gusts are at their highest.
Tides forecast for Harbor Island area tomorrow.
Gale Warning
Puget Sound and Hood Canal-
200 PM PST Sun Dec 7 2025
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM PST MONDAY…
…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST MONDAY…
* WHAT…For the first Small Craft Advisory, 15 to 25 kt. For the
second Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 kt. For the
Gale Warning, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
* WHERE…Puget Sound and Hood Canal.
* WHEN…For the first Small Craft Advisory, until 4 PM PST this
afternoon. For the second Small Craft Advisory, from 4 AM to
10 AM PST Monday. For the Gale Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM
PST Monday.
* IMPACTS…Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.
PZZ135-081100- Puget Sound and Hood Canal- 200 PM PST
Sun Dec 7 2025
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
TONIGHT: S wind 15 to 25 kt, easing to 10 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain this evening, then rain likely after midnight. A chance of rain late.
MONDAY: S wind 15 to 20 kt, rising to 20 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Waves around 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
MONDAY NIGHT: SW wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
City of Seattle Forecast
City of Seattle-
Including the city of Downtown Seattle
130 PM PST Sun Dec 7 2025
TONIGHT…Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain until early morning, then cloudy with rain at times late in the night. Rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch likely. Lows near 50. South wind 10 to 15 mph.
MONDAY…Breezy. Cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. Rainfall amounts a half inch to one inch possible. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. South wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph in the afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT…Breezy, rain. Rainfall amounts a quarter to a half inch possible. Lows in the mid to upper 40s. Southwest wind 15 to 25 mph. Gusts to 45 mph decreasing to 30 mph after midnight.
And let’s not forget the rain! 😅 Stay safe, neighbors!
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