High Tides at Weather Watch and more

Our intrepid reporter Scupper Sr (aka my husband) has been taking photos of local parks during the high tides. 

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Weather Watch Park

We’ve been keeping a close eye on the tides and strong winds as our property can flood. If we are preparing for flooding, we do our best to issue a “Barking Dog Report”.  This is a term my husband has “fondly” used to describe yours truly when I’m running around the house, worried about pending trouble – such as flooding. Just like your neighbors barking dog, it’s hopefully much ado about nothing… but you never know!

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Constellation Park 

With the recent redesign of Beach Drive Blog, please be sure to check out the “Swell Links” to the left, which features information about pending weather and tides.  And be sure to follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/beachdriveblog. If we wind up losing power and not able to post info on the blog, you may find more info on Twitter.

Be prepared, stay warm!  Let’s hope we’re not issuing any “barking dog reports” over this holiday weekend.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Wind Advisory, the “S” Word and tree down at Weather Watch Park

The National Weather Service has issued a wind adisory until 6 pm tonight with gusts up to 48 mph followed by possible snow tonight:

Today: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 49. Breezy, with a west southwest wind around 26 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Tonight: A chance of rain showers before 10pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of snow showers after 4am. Snow level 500 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Breezy, with a southwest wind 19 to 22 mph decreasing to between 10 and 13 mph. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 

Sunday: A chance of snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Snow level 300 feet. Partly sunny, with a high near 44. North northwest wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. 

Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of snow showers before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. North northeast wind around 7 mph. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT…

TODAY…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT EASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON AND BECOMING NW 15 TO 25 KT NORTH OF SEATTLE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY THIS MORNING…A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT SOUTH PART. NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT NORTH PART. WIND EASING TO SW 5 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

A day or so ago, we noticed a large tree had come down in Weather Watch Park (across from LaRustica).  Wondering if Monday's wind storm brought it down?

 

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Fat Tuesday may bring a Big Fat Storm

Looks like we're in for some weather over the next few days with possible snow this weekend. What has our attention will be the 11.9 tide at 5:27 am on Wednesday combined strong gusts and waves up to 3-5 feet.  

Seattle Tides:

Tuesday, Feb 21: 

  • 5:04 am at 11.9
  • 10:54 am at 4.5
  • 4:17 pm at 10.5
  • 10:39 pm at 0.3

Wednesday, Feb 22:

  • 5:27 am at 11.9
  • 11:28 am at 3.8
  • 5:03 pm at 10.4
  • 11:17 pm at 1.0 

Here are the reports that we check out:

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…

TODAY…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 1 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

WED…W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN LIKELY EARLY…THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

WED NIGHT…W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

National Weather Service

Today: Rain. High near 54. Windy, with a southwest wind between 28 and 32 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Tonight: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 45. Windy, with a southwest wind between 25 and 33 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday: Showers likely, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Breezy, with a west southwest wind between 22 and 29 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southwest wind between 8 and 15 mph. 

So get your candles ready, check your generators and get your jambalaya or spicy red beans with rice ready!  Scupper says "let's hope we don't all become Mardi Gras floats".  

Wind and Tides Update for tonight and Saturday

Weather changes often, so please check the links on the left side-bar for current forecast.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON…

TONIGHT…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT…BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SAT…S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS.

Seattle City Forecast:

TONIGHT…BREEZY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE EVENING…THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SATURDAY…WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT…RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING…THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

National Weather Service for West Seattle:

Tonight: Showers, mainly before 10pm. Low around 41. South southwest wind between 13 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Saturday: Showers. High near 44. Breezy, with a south wind between 21 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

And the upcoming tides:

Friday, February 17 at 7:32 pm (publishing this post about 8:12pm) we have a -0.4.

Saturday, February 18:

  • 3:26 am: 11.2 
  • 8:44 am: 7.0
  • 1:31 pm: 10.4
  • 8:28 pm: -0.6

Wind Advisory until Midnight

This from the National Weather Service: 

Tonight: Rain. Low around 41. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 24 and 28 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Wednesday: Showers. High near 47. South southwest wind 8 to 11 mph increasing to between 17 and 20 mph. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Tides are heading down from a high tidee of 10.6 at 5:01 tonight to a -0.7 at 11:36 tonight and back up to a 12.5 at 6:38 Wednesday morning.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT…

REST OF THE AFTERNOON…SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. RAIN TURNING TO SHOWERS.

WED…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.

 

Another wind storm coming Sunday

Weather forecast can and do change.  At 4:30 this morning, we issued a "barking dog" report which basically means that we're preparing to possibly flood or lose power because of high winds, tides and waves slurping over the bulkhead.  A "barking dog" would be like your neighbors friendly retreiver who howls when he thinks something may be wrong – sometimes he's right, sometimes not…but always on the lookout with best intentions. 

We indeed have water coming over our bulkhead and thankfully have a back-up pump since the first one failed.  

This photo is of our neighbors patio where the waves knocked some of the brick pavers out.

 

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Our next high tides are an 11.3 at 2:25 this afternoon and a 12.3 at 5:08 Sunday morning followed by a 11.2 at 3:20 pm Sunday afternoon.

Here's what the NWS has now:

Today: A 40 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 46. Breezy, with a south southwest wind around 28 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. 

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 14 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Rain. High near 46. Southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 40. Windy, with a south southeast wind 18 to 21 mph increasing to between 28 and 31 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Monday: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 44. South southwest wind between 17 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%

Seattle area forecast via UW:

TODAY…WINDY THIS MORNING. SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH EASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY…RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

 

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON…

TODAY…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT…EASING IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT…SUBSIDING. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…EASING AND BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

SUN…SE WIND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

SUN NIGHT…S WIND RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT.

We hope you stay warm and safe!

BARKING DOG REPORT: WIND AND WAVES

 

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It’s been a while since we’ve issued a barking dog report – I’ll explain more later. Right now we’re dealing with extreme wind at high tide causing water to slosh over the bulkhead. This is the type of situation where neighbors may experience flooding – especially if we lose power.  The following is what info we have as of 4:00 am (at the time of publishing this post):

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM.

National Weather Service:

Today: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 46. Windy, with a south southwest wind between 28 and 34 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Breezy, with a south southwest wind between 14 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Marine Forecast:

…GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON…

TODAY…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT…EASING IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT…SUBSIDING. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…EASING AND BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

SUN…SE WIND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

SUN NIGHT…S WIND RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 3 TO 6 FT.

UPDATE 5:35 am: just noticed NWS has “gusts as high as 55 mph” through Sunday.

Sunday: Rain. High near 46. Southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 40. Windy, with a south southeast wind 18 to 21 mph increasing to between 28 and 31 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

TIDES:

Saturday, January 21:

  • 4:30 am at 11.9
  • 9:37 am at 7.4
  • 2:25 pm at 11.3
  • 9:30 pm at -2.0

Sunday, January 22;

  • 5:08 am at 12.3
  • 10:28 am at 6.9
  • 3:20 pm at 11.2
  • 10:14 pm at -1.9

 

From round 1:

First snow and ice. What’s next? WIND with High Tides

This morning the snow is melting and Beach Drive around Jacobson seems clear, wet and slushy.  

 

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What's next? Why strong winds, of course!

NWS for West Seattle area:

Today: Occasional snow and freezing drizzle before 10am, then rain. Snow level 200 feet rising to 3700 feet. High near 40. East northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south southeast. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 

Tonight: Rain. Low around 40. Southeast wind around 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Saturday: Showers likely, mainly before 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 46. Windy, with a southwest wind between 21 and 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southwest wind between 11 and 14 mph. 

Sunday: Rain. High near 45. South southeast wind around 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90% 

City of Seattle and vincinity:

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING…

TODAY…OCCASIONAL LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR SNOW IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH OF INCH OR LESS. HIGHS NEAR 40. LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT…BECOMING WINDY…RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH LATE.

SATURDAY…WINDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.

SUNDAY…RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON PST TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON…

TODAY…NE WIND 5 TO 10 KT…BECOMING SE AND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 1 FT…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.

TONIGHT…SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING S 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT. RAIN.

SAT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

SAT NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

SUN…SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

SUN NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

MON…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

Seattle area tides

Friday, January 20:

  • 1:27 pm at 11.4 
  • 8:42 pm at  -1.8 

Saturday, January 21:

  • 4:30 am at 11.9
  • 9:37 am at 7.4
  • 2:25 pm at 11.3
  • 9:30 pm at -2.0

Sunday, January 22;

  • 5:08 am at 12.3
  • 10:28 am at 6.9
  • 3:20 pm at 11.2
  • 10:14 pm at -1.9

Still reading? Here are some photos from a walk Scupper and I took yesterday in the snow along Beach Drive. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Winter Storm Warning through Wednesday

This morning could be a good time to make sure your generator is working!  I just heard local news media say "we could get a foot of snow at sea level tomorrow".

Here is the forecast for the Seattle area. I'm concerned about the WIND combined with the snow.

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON…

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT PST WEDNESDAY NIGHT…

TODAY…SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

TONIGHT…SNOW SHOWERS ENDING IN THE EVENING. SNOW DEVELOPING LATE. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY…SNOW…HEAVY AT TIMES. BECOMING WINDY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 9 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…WINDY…SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THURSDAY…SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY…

TODAY…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING NW 5 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OVER THE N SOUND…NW WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.

TONIGHT…NE WIND 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW.

WED…N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. SNOW.

WED NIGHT…N WIND 20 TO 30 KT…EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT…SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS.

THU…N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT.

THU NIGHT…SE WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FT OR LESS.

Tides via NOAA:

 

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We have considerable high tides that when combined with wind in the forecast, could be concerning.

Tides

 

SNOW

 2012-01-15_12-46-38_747

The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory that will be in effect until 10pm tonight. We have snow mentioned in the forecast through Wednesday!  

Do you have photos of the snow you'd like to share? Post them on our Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/beachdriveblog

Update: here are some more photos from this afternoon around 2:30pm.

 

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Vashon with snow.

 

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Emma Schmitz View Point