Potentially damaging weather coming aka a “Barking Dog Report”

It’s been a while since I’ve issued a “barking dog report”. Briefly, a “barking dog report” is when we are preparing for possible flooding due to extreme wind and waves. Hopefully a “barking dog” is just me sounding off, much like a neighbors dog, when they’re worried and there’s no real danger to worry about.  

The combo of the King Tides and what Mother Nature has forecast, has us concerned through Monday night. Below are the  reports we’re looking at. Forecast do change and you can click the links on the “Swell Links” column to the right to see the latest data. 

PS: Cliff Mass warns of a possible significant wind event on Monday too.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING…TODAY…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING S 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.

SUN…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN. SUN NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

MON…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT.  MON NIGHT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT…EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT

Seattle Tides:

Saturday, Dec 15: 

  • 13.0 ft at 6:51 am 
  • 6.7 ft at 12:24 pm
  • 11.2 ft at 5:19 pm [NOTE: 4 foot waves could be an issue even at 11.2 tides]

Sunday, Dec 16:

  • -2.7 at 12:15 am
  • 13.0 at 7:34 am
  • 6.1 at 1:21 pm
  • 10.4 at 6:18 pm

Monday, Dec 17:

  • -1.5 at 1:03 am
  • 12.9 at 8:17 am
  • 5.5 at 2:22 pm
  • 9.5 at 7:22 pm

National Weather Service... has the “S” word in the forecast…. SNOW!!  And currently has a special weather statement regarding the system that’s coming in.

Today: Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 10am. Snow level 900 feet. High near 42. South southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. South southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.


Sunday: Rain, mainly after 10am. High near 42. South wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 41. East southeast wind 7 to 15 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.


Monday: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 44. Windy, with a south wind 28 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday Night A chance of rain showers before 10pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of snow showers after 4am. Snow level 1000 feet lowering to 300 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.


Tuesday: A chance of snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of rain showers after 4pm. Snow level rising to 600 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday Night: Rain and snow likely. Snow level 600 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Seattle Forecast via UW:

TODAY…RAIN…MIXED WITH SNOW THIS MORNING. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH. TONIGHT…NUMEROUS SHOWERS…DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY…RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…RAIN AND BREEZY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

MONDAY…WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE MORNING…THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

If you have neighbors who tend to flood from the sound coming over the bulkhead, you may want to share this information with them. As I mentioned, I hope I’m just being a “barking dog” and worrying over nothing – however, we’ve found it really pays to be prepared when there is a possible weather event such as this.  

At the very least, you may want to get leaves out of the street and clear gutters to help the streets drain.

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Comments

  1. Depending on the angle of your bulkhead, Monday’s wind direction switching from south to SW can cause more concern.

    Doing the math here: 12.9 ft tide + 6 ft waves = 18+ vs 16 ft bulkhead = Uh Oh!

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