Barking Dog Report: HIGH WIND WATCH AND COASTAL FLOODING WATCH

Barking-Dog-ReportI’m crossing my fingers that the current forecasts I’m reading are exaggerating the predictions for Thursday. The coastal flooding is predicted to impact local high tides, causing a 14 ft on Wednesday morning around 8 am and a 14.5 ft on Thursday morning around 9 – 10 am.  Combine this with the high wind watch with possible gusts up to 65 mph and I smell trouble!

If you live on the water along Beach Drive, you might want to make sure you have pumps ready to go and take any actions needed to prepare for potential flooding. Be sure to continue to check the forecast as they do change…hopefully for the better!

Please share this information with your Beach Drive neighbors – they may not be aware of the pending storm.

National Weather Service

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON PST
WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON PST
WEDNESDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MINOR
  FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND THE INLAND WATERS AROUND HIGH
  TIDE ON WEDNESDAY. MORE SERIOUS AND EXTENSIVE COASTAL FLOODING
  IS POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY IF A DEEP LOW THAT IS SHOWN BY MANY
  FORECAST MODELS COMES IN AROUND HIGH TIDE. THIS DEEP LOW WOULD
  PRODUCE A 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM SURGE ON TOP OF PREDICTED TIDE
  VALUES AND WOULD BE COMBINED WITH WAVES DEVELOPED BY STRONG
  WINDS.

* TIME OF HIGH TIDE...ABOUT 8 AM PST WEDNESDAY AND 9-10 AM PST
  THURSDAY.

* PREDICTED TIDE...AT SEATTLE ABOUT 14 FEET ON WEDNESDAY AND
  POSSIBLY AROUND 14.5 FEET ON THURSDAY. MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW AT
  SEATTLE NORMALLY BEGINS AROUND 13.5 FEET AND SERIOUS COASTAL
  FLOODING TYPICALLY BEGINS AT 14.5 FEET. TIDAL ANOMALIES ARE
  EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR AT OTHER LOCATIONS BETWEEN OLYMPIA AND
  POINT ROBERTS ALONG THE SHORES OF THE INLAND WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR
IF WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOP AS PREDICTED. RESIDENTS AND LOCAL
OFFICIALS SHOULD MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

Seattle City Forecast:

…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING…

TONIGHT…RAIN IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A HALF INCH TO ONE INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

WEDNESDAY…BREEZY…RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A HALF INCH TO ONE INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…RAIN AT TIMES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING EAST WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THURSDAY…VERY WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY NIGHT…WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

NWS Forecast for Thursday currently has gusts up to 70 MPH!!!

  • Thursday: Rain. High near 54. Windy, with a north northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south 36 to 46 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 70 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
  • Thursday Night: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Here’s a snap shot of the pending tides – please remember this is NOT reflecting the coastal flooding which causes the tides to be higher than originally predicted.

2014-12-09_1644

UPDATE: 4:58 PM to add the Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON  STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY  EVENING  

 WED  S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. RAIN.  
WED NIGHT  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT...EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES  2 TO 4 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN IN THE  EVENING...THEN RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
THU  N WIND 5 TO 15 KT...BECOMING S 35 TO 45 KT. STORM FORCE  WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT.  
THU NIGHT  SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT EARLY...EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT.  STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. WIND WAVES 6 TO 8  FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS.

A “barking dog report” means that we are very closely watching the sound and preparing to possibly flood. It may or may not happen (hopefully not!!). Consider us your neighbor’s barking dog who’s barking at potential trouble. Stay safe my friends!

Storm Update

Weather guru Cliff Mass says the first big fall storm should start right about the time that summer is officially over, at 1:44 pm Sunday which coincides with the kick off for the Seahawks vs Jaguars at Qwest field.

[Read more…]

NWS issues Special Weather Statement for Sunday

Last Sunday we had “Blue Thunder” for the Seahawks game…and it looks like this Sunday will bring howling weather as the National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement for the first official day of fall.  It’s probably a good idea to make sure what leaves are currently around drains are cleared (although we’re going to have plenty more coming down).

[Read more…]

Potentially damaging weather coming aka a “Barking Dog Report”

It’s been a while since I’ve issued a “barking dog report”. Briefly, a “barking dog report” is when we are preparing for possible flooding due to extreme wind and waves. Hopefully a “barking dog” is just me sounding off, much like a neighbors dog, when they’re worried and there’s no real danger to worry about.  

The combo of the King Tides and what Mother Nature has forecast, has us concerned through Monday night. Below are the  reports we’re looking at. Forecast do change and you can click the links on the “Swell Links” column to the right to see the latest data. 

PS: Cliff Mass warns of a possible significant wind event on Monday too.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING…TODAY…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT…SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING S 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.

SUN…S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN. SUN NIGHT…S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

MON…SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT.  MON NIGHT…SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT…EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT

Seattle Tides:

Saturday, Dec 15: 

  • 13.0 ft at 6:51 am 
  • 6.7 ft at 12:24 pm
  • 11.2 ft at 5:19 pm [NOTE: 4 foot waves could be an issue even at 11.2 tides]

Sunday, Dec 16:

  • -2.7 at 12:15 am
  • 13.0 at 7:34 am
  • 6.1 at 1:21 pm
  • 10.4 at 6:18 pm

Monday, Dec 17:

  • -1.5 at 1:03 am
  • 12.9 at 8:17 am
  • 5.5 at 2:22 pm
  • 9.5 at 7:22 pm

National Weather Service... has the “S” word in the forecast…. SNOW!!  And currently has a special weather statement regarding the system that’s coming in.

Today: Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 10am. Snow level 900 feet. High near 42. South southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: Showers likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. South southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.


Sunday: Rain, mainly after 10am. High near 42. South wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night: Rain. Low around 41. East southeast wind 7 to 15 mph becoming south in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.


Monday: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 44. Windy, with a south wind 28 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday Night A chance of rain showers before 10pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10pm and 4am, then a chance of snow showers after 4am. Snow level 1000 feet lowering to 300 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.


Tuesday: A chance of snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 10am and 4pm, then a chance of rain showers after 4pm. Snow level rising to 600 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Tuesday Night: Rain and snow likely. Snow level 600 feet. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Seattle Forecast via UW:

TODAY…RAIN…MIXED WITH SNOW THIS MORNING. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH. TONIGHT…NUMEROUS SHOWERS…DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY…RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT…RAIN AND BREEZY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

MONDAY…WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE MORNING…THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT…MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

If you have neighbors who tend to flood from the sound coming over the bulkhead, you may want to share this information with them. As I mentioned, I hope I’m just being a “barking dog” and worrying over nothing – however, we’ve found it really pays to be prepared when there is a possible weather event such as this.  

At the very least, you may want to get leaves out of the street and clear gutters to help the streets drain.

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