High Wind Warning and High Tides

We have a high wind warning that goes into effect in about an hour that will coincide with high tides. There are a lot of mixed forecast tonight that are being hyped over various media outlets. We always prepare for the worst and hope for the best.

This was issued at 6:39 P.M. from the National Weather Service:


The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM PST
Sunday. The Wind Advisory is no longer in effect.

* WIND…South to southwest wind 20 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 55
mph. A brief period with gusts to around 60 mph is possible
during the peak of the storm overnight.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…Hoquaim, Forks, Tacoma, Seattle,
Bremerton, and Friday Harbor.

* TIMING…South to southwest winds will rapidly develop late this
evening then ease around daybreak Sunday. For most of the area,
the strongest winds will occur in the early morning hours on
Sunday. In the central Puget Sound region, including Seattle,
the peak winds are expected between 2 AM and 4 AM.

* IMPACTS…Winds may down trees and cause power outages.
Dangerous cross winds will be possible on east-west oriented
roadways including I-90 and SR-520 across Lake Washington.
Temporary structures and fences may be damaged. Loose or
unsecured objects may be displaced.

High tide is predicted at 6:16 am to be 12.18 feet.

Here is the Wind Alert current prediction (subject to change, of course!)

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

Puget Sound and Hood Canal-
831 PM PST Sat Jan 5 2019


E wind 15 to 25 kt becoming S 25 to 35 kt after
midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft building to 4 to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain likely in the evening then showers after midnight.

S wind 25 to 35 kt easing to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Wind waves 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A
chance of showers.

It’s quite possible that this could be a big storm… but as far as flooding, we’re leaning towards that we’ll have impresive splash come over and might have to fire up the pumps between 4:00 am – 6:00 am but it won’t be significant based on the reports we review for our personal reference. This is probably a good time to remind our readers that we are not weather forecasters – we are just your neighbors sharing information that we use for our purposes.

High Tides and Winds

It looks like we’re in for another windy day. With a wind advisory in effect until 4:00 pm today and an extra high tide of 12.59 feet at 10:32 this morning.

Here’s the current (8:08 am) Wind Alert forecast. If we do see gusts in the 40s around high tide, it’s quite possible we’ll see some water coming over the bulkhead.


The Puget Sound Marine forecast has a small craft advisory until 10am this morning (last update 2:41 am).

 TODAY  S wind 20 to 30 kt rising to 25 to 35 kt in the  afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 6 ft. Rain.

 TONIGHT  SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind becoming NW 10 to 20 kt N  part in the evening and SW 10 to 20 kt S part in the evening.  Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain.

National Weather Service (4:00 am update).


* WIND...Southerly 20 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 50 mph.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...Port Townsend, Everett, Bremerton,
  Seattle, Tacoma, La Push, Ocean Shores, Westport, and Hoquiam.

* IMPACTS...Winds may snap weak branches that have not been
  pruned by recent storms, produce isolated power outages, and
  make the driving of high-profile vehicles difficult.


A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

We’re not sure if this is going to be a “Barking Dog Report” event where we think there will be flooding along Beach Drive… just something to keep alert about at this point… and we will be past high tide in just over two hours.

Stay tuned!

Big Changes for Short Term Rentals along Beach Drive and Alki

If you or someone you know owns or operates a vacation rental along Beach Drive or along Alki, you may want to let them know about regulations that are going into effect January 1, 2019 that will prohibit short term vacation rentals on waterfront homes and potentially including homes within 200 feet of Puget Sound.

We believe this is an unintended consequence from the City of Seattle labeling short term vacation rentals as “commercial lodging” which is not permitted per the shoreline code. This includes detached single family residences, condos, apartments and homes that are within 200 feet of the high water mark of Puget Sound (homes across the street from Puget Sound could be included). Other areas may be included as well if they are within the shoreline management restricted areas.

From the City of Seattle – one of their many pages regarding Short Term Rentals (aka “STR”s):

“Floating on-water residences, waterfront residences, and other areas where lodging activities are prohibited by the Shoreline Code

We have owned and operated a short term vacation rental on Beach Drive for a couple of years. We are saddened that it looks like we will no longer be able to offer Beach Drive Bungalow as a vacation rental. Many of our guests over the years have been from neighbors and other Seattle-ites with visiting families.

Many who have owned and operated vacation rentals near the shoreline in Seattle may not know about this snafu. To our knowledge, there has been no notifications from the vacation rental platforms, like VRBO/Homeaway or AirbNb nor from the City of Seattle (unless you visit their website and try to make sense of the shoreline code).

I reached out weeks ago to our City Council. Today, I received my first response from a representative for O’Brien who stated:

“Thanks so much for reaching out to Councilmember O’Brien on this issue.  I am sorry for the complicated and confusing nature of our code and that your property is no longer eligible as a STR.  After looking into it a bit, my understanding is that this is due to the shoreline code – lodging activities are prohibited in Floating on-water residences, waterfront residences, and in specific shoreline environments.  This was not a policy choice about waterfront locations specifically but rather just making it explicit that defining short-term rentals as a lodging use (and not a residential use) means prohibiting STRs where lodging uses are prohibited by the shoreline code.   To modify this would require amending the shoreline code which typically requires working with and approval by the Department of Ecology.

Sorry to not have a more hopeful response for you.  Have you considered renting the property as a long-term rental?”

No response yet from our West Seattle rep, Lisa Herbold.

We do plan on reaching out to the Department of Ecology.

If you have questions, you can email: str@seattle.gov.

December 20, 2018 Storm

We’ve had some waves coming over since around noon and building towards high tide which just passed minutes ago. This video is from about an hour ago. We have had to fire up the big ol’ trash pumps since this video.

I have more pictures and videos on Facebook.  Hope you’re staying safe and not having too much trouble with the waves.

Barking Dog Report: High Wind Warning and Wind Waves

Good morning, Neighbors! Well the wind and rain is just starting to pick up along Beach Drive in West Seattle. We just passed low tide and are now on our way to an estimated 11.71 feet at 2:06 pm today.

Here’s a peek a the current forecast from Wind Alert.

The Puget Sound Marine Forecast (updated at 8:38 am) has a Gale Warning in effect through this evening.

 S wind 20 to 30 kt rising to 35 to 45 kt in the  afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft building to 6 to 8 ft in the  afternoon. Rain in the morning then rain likely in the afternoon.

The National Weather Service has issued a High Wind Warning. This was last updated at 3:29 a.m. I’m surprised it hasn’t been updated yet this morning…maybe they’re stalling to get a better read on pending storm?  At 7:54 a.m. the NWS added a Special Weather Statement warning of a higher risk of landslides.  Here’s the wind warning;


* WIND...South to southeast wind 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to
  60 mph.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...Seattle, Bellevue, Tacoma, and

* TIMING...Winds will increase rapidly Thursday morning with the
  strongest gusts expected for a few hours Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Snapped tree branches and downed trees along with
  some power outages.


A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

Bottom line, our plans have not changed since last night. We are preparing to flood and possibly lose power… the joys of living on Puget Sound! If you still have any patio furniture or other potential projectiles outside, you may want to secure them. Charge up your cell phones and have some candles ready. Stay safe, Neighbors!

BARKING DOG REPORT: High Wind Watch and High Tides Thursday

Anytime we have waves predicted at 7 feet combined with high tides, it’s likely we’ll issue a barking dog report. This is a lengthy post so if you want the “bottom line”, we are preparing for the possibility of flooding around the second high tide tomorrow (11.79 feet at 2:44 pm). If we see anything near the currently predicted 7 foot waves, we could see water coming over our bulkhead starting around lunchtime. If you have a waterfront home along Beach Drive, you may want to prepare for potential flooding. With the strong winds that are predicted, we could see power outages as well.

Here’s what Wind Alert has currently (as of 8:40 am 12/19/18) predicted for Thursday:

And here are the predicted tides for Puget Sound:

High tides for Thursday, December 20, 2018 are 11.27 at 4:30 am and 11.79 at 2:44 pm. According to wind alert, we could see gusts in the mid to upper 40s approaching the afternoon high tide.

I’ve been stalling on this post waiting for updated forecast… here we go!

Puget Sound Marine Forecast has issued a small craft advisory in effect until 4:00 pm this afternoon and a gale warning from tonight through tomorrow at 4:00 pm.

THU  S wind 25 to 35 kt rising to 30 to 40 kt in the afternoon.  Wind waves 4 to 7 ft. Rain in the morning then rain likely in the  afternoon.  

THU NIGHT  SW wind 25 to 35 kt easing to 15 to 25 kt after  midnight. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft after  midnight.

The National Weather Service has issued a high wind warning for tomorrow. Note: the local Seattle forecast from the NWS shows gusts as high as 50 mph tomorrow.


The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a High Wind
Warning, which is in effect from 7 AM to 7 PM PST Thursday. The
High Wind Watch is no longer in effect.

* WIND…South to southeast wind 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…Ferndale, Bellingham, Sandy Point,
Anacortes, Friday Harbor, Seattle, Bellevue, Tacoma, Everett,
and Bremerton.

* TIMING…Winds will increase rapidly Thursday morning with the
strongest gusts expected for a few hours Thursday afternoon.
This is not expected to be a prolonged event.

* IMPACTS…Snapped tree branches and downed trees along with
local power outages.


A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.

City of Seattle forecast:

TONIGHT…Breezy. Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the 40s. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph after midnight.

THURSDAY…Very windy. Rain. Rainfall amounts a quarter to a half inch possible. Highs in the lower to mid 50s. South wind 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph increasing to 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…Windy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest wind 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight.

We will be spending today getting our home ready for strong winds, potential flooding and loss of power. Mother Nature showed us yesterday with the tornado that touched down in Port Orchard that she is nothing to mess around with.

Of course, forecast can and do change – be sure to stay tuned!

High Wind Watch for Friday

The National Weather Service has just issued a “High Wind Watch” from 10 am through
6pm Friday…check out how someone spelled Bellevue below 😉 This is right in time
for high tide which is predicted to be at 11.72 feet at 10:12 am Friday.

1143 AM PST Thu Dec 13 2018


* WIND…South wind potentially 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…Seattle, Bellview, Tacoma and

* TIMING…10 AM Friday morning through 6 PM Friday evening.

Currently, Wind Alert’s predictions are not as exciting as what the National Weather Service’s Wind Watch.

This time of year, Scupper and I start to feel a bit like “Chicken Little” with all
of our warnings and Barking Dog Reports…we feel it’s always better to be safe than
sorry when it comes to dealing with Mother Nature.

Stay tuned!

Gale Warning and Wind Advisory

Our neighborhood barking dog is whimpering again tonight with the strong winds that are in the forecast. Our next high tide predicted to be a 11.85 feet at 9:30 tomorrow morning.

Puget Sound Marine forecast:


TONIGHT  S wind 25 to 35 kt. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. Rain.  

THU  S wind 25 to 35 kt easing to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon.  Wind waves 4 to 6 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.  Rain.

 THU NIGHT  S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance  of rain.

Here’s the Wind Advisory published just after 3:00 pm today


The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until noon PST Thursday. * WIND…South wind 20 to 35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. * SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS… * TIMING…Wind rising during the evening and peaking Thursday morning. * IMPACTS…Winds may be strong enough to down tree limbs, causing local power outages.

Checking out Wind Alert, gusts are predicted to be around 38-39 mph around high tide tomorrow morning.

Stay tuned!


Barking Dog Report: On Watch for Friday

EDITORS NOTE: Please scroll to the bottom of this post for updates.

If you’re a long time reader of Beach Drive Blog, then you’re most likely familiar with “the Barking Dog Report”. We issue a “Barking Dog Report” when we think there is a strong possibility that our Beach Drive home may flood from waves coming over the bulkhead. Sometimes, much like a neighbors barking dog (and the weatherman), we may be off and there is no issue. However, we think it’s always good to prepare for worse case scenario for those few times that flooding does occur.

For this report, we’re more of a concerned dog that’s sniffing the air for what may come this Friday. What has our ears pulled back this morning? Check out the current data from Wind Alert.

You can see by the bottom graph for this week that we’re going to be in for some stormy, windy weather… however, if Friday’s current forecast holds true, we could have gusts as high as 62 mph around 1:00 pm!

High tide is predicted to be 11.72 feet at 10:12 am on Friday, which is when the wind really appears to start picking up based on this morning’s chart from Wind Alert. At 1:00 p.m., tides are predicted to be around 10 feet…but with winds that strong, waves should be pretty intense.

Again, I hope we’re barking for nothing, just like your neighbor’s dog. It doesn’t hurt to be prepared for a big storm…just in case!

PS: You can follow us on Facebook and Twitter

PS PS: Stay tuned! Weather is such a moving target! As 12:54 pm (a few hours since publishing this post) Wind Alert is showing the strongest gust on Friday to be “only” 46 mph at 4:00 am.

UPDATE: As of 8:00 a.m. December 12, 2018, it looks like Friday will be a non-event. Thursday looks stormy but nothing like what we had originally shared on this post. 🙂


Sea lion #11?

Yesterday, yet another sea lion has drifted upon the shores around West Seattle. This one conveniently floated around the rip-rap sea wall right into the Don Armeni Boat Ramp. Although this sea lion wasn’t immediately pronounced “shot” by the person performing the necropsy, odds are pretty good according to recent history. Robin Lindsey of Seal Sitters informed me that it would be a couple of days following X-rays to determine cause of death.

Seal Sitters tape off latest victim.

The following video was taken yesterday afternoon , December 4th as a crew of folks worked to turn the large mammal over for examination. I can tell you now that it’s good practice to stay upwind!


Scupper. reporting for Beach Drive Blog