Barking Dog Report: High Tides and Wind

This morning we’re waking up to raucous waves crashing on the bulkhead with spray flying over…and we’re still a couple hours from high tide (as I write this post). We think there’s pretty strong odds that we may flood…hence the “barking dog report” to warn our neighbors who might flood in these conditions too.

Here’s what we’re basing the report on.

Let’s start with the tides:

Add the Puget Sound Marine forecast with a Gale Warning in effect until 4:00 pm.

555 AM PST TUE DEC 20 2016    

GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON    

TODAY  SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 5 TO 7 FT. A CHANCE OF  SHOWERS.

Factor in a high tide of 12.18 at 10.08 this morning. Right now (7:30 am), we are at about 8 feet and we have water and spray splashing over.

 

 

 

NWS issues a Coastal Flood Advisory

The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a coastal flooding advisory.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 11 AM PST THIS MORNING. *

COASTAL FLOODING…HIGH TIDES WILL BE ABOUT ONE FOOT BELOW WHAT NORMALLY CAUSES MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM PASSING THROUGH THE AREA AROUND THE HIGH TIDE WILL PRODUCE WINDY CONDITIONS AND WAVES UP TO 5 FEET. THESE WAVES MAY OVERTOP SEAWALLS AROUND TODAYS MORNING HIGH TIDE.

* SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS…SHORELINES OF PUGET SOUND…

* TIMING…TWO HOURS EITHER SIDE OF THIS MORNING`S HIGH TIDE THAT WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM PST.

* TIDE INFO…HIGH TIDE FROM TACOMA NORTHWARD TO FRIDAY HARBOR IS AROUND 8 AM…. THE TIDES AT ALL LOCATIONS WILL BE ABOUT 1 FOOT BELOW WHERE MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW NORMALLY OCCURS.

* IMPACTS…WAVES MAY OCCASIONALLY SEND SEA WATER OVER LOWER SEAWALLS AROUND THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

Puget Sound Marine forecast has a Gale Warning until 9:00 am this morning being reduced to a Gale Watch through Tuesday afternoon.

 TODAY  S WIND 25 TO 35 KT EARLY…EASING TO 15 TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON.  WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT…SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

 TONIGHT  SE WIND TO 10 KT…BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT AFTER  MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT AFTER  MIDNIGHT. RAIN.  

TUE  SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT…RISING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE  AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING…THEN  SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.

We do have extremely high tides right now with a 12.49 estimated at 9:24 this morning. Tuesday’s high tide is 12.18 around 10:00 am.

Wind Alert shows the stronger winds tapering down following the high tide and shows winds picking up again this evening and the wee hours on Tuesday.

Winter Storm Watch for Monday

The National Weather Service has issued Winter Storm Watch for Monday with… the “s word”.

Winter Storm Watch

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
107 PM PST SUN DEC 4 2016

WAZ507-555-556-558-050615-
/O.NEW.KSEW.WS.A.0010.161206T0000Z-161206T1200Z/
/O.CON.KSEW.WW.Y.0030.161205T1200Z-161205T2000Z/
EVERETT AND VICINITY-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE AND VICINITY-
107 PM PST SUN DEC 4 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO NOON PST
MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT.

* TIMING...SHOWERS WILL INCREASE MONDAY MORNING BETWEEN 4 AM AND
  NOON. SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN
  SHOWERS BY AFTERNOON. COLDER AIR ARRIVES MONDAY EVENING WITH A
  PUGET SOUND CONVERGENCE ZONE PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS DOWN TO SEA-
  LEVEL THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW AMOUNTS...A TRACE TO 2 INCHES ABOVE 500 FEET MONDAY
  MORNING. MONDAY NIGHT...LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
  SNOW POSSIBLE FROM NORTH SEATTLE TO EVERETT AND EASTWARD TO THE
  FOOTHILLS INCLUDING THE BELLEVUE AREA. LITTLE OR NO SNOW
  ACCUMULATION ELSEWHERE AROUND THE METRO REGION NOT AFFECTED BY
  THE CONVERGENCE ZONE.

* SNOW LEVELS...MAINLY NEAR 500 FEET MONDAY MORNING...RISING IN
  THE AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS FALLING TO SEA-LEVEL MONDAY EVENING
  THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT AS COLD NORTHERLY FRASER OUTFLOW
  DEVELOPS.

* IMPACTS...SLUSH ON SOME ROADWAYS ABOVE 500 FEET MAY CAUSE
  SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES FALLING
  INTO THE UPPER 20S MONDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE ANY SNOW OR RECENT
  MOISTURE TO BECOME ICY DURING THE COMMUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW COULD
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS

Barking Dog Report: Wind Advisory with High Tide

Barking-Dog-ReportThe National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory starting at 9:00 am this morning and going though 3:00 pm this afternoon…this is just in time for a very high tide of 12.15 at 2:24 pm.

Remember, we call this a “barking dog report” because just like your neighbors dog that barks a little too much… sometimes there’s actually a reason for the barking. We issue a “barking dog report” when we think there is a good probability that we may have flooding from water coming over the bulkhead.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
435 AM PST SAT NOV 12 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 PM
PST THIS AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
  THROUGH 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE CAN BREAK TREE LIMBS FALLING
  ONTO ROADS...VEHICLES...AND ROOFTOPS. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE
  POSSIBLE.

2016-11-12-tides

The Puget Sound Marine forecast:

S WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT LATE IN THE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.  RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

Wind Alert has the strongest gusts predicted around 11:00 am through 2:00 pm today.

2016-11-12-wind

If not for the 12 foot tides and currently predicted strong southwest winds… I *might* not be yapping right now. And want to give neighbors as much notice as possible in the event some of us flood.

Weather forecast change constantly. These reports are from around 4:00 am this morning (not sure how current Wind Alerts reporting is).

Stay tuned and be safe!

Highly anticipated Cyclone Donald not so HUGE

 

Looked just like another beauty day on Beach Drive around 2:00

storm-2-oclock

Things began to change up a bit at 3:00 on the horizon and you could see the water starting to churn up on the other side of the Sound due to easterly winds…

storm-3-oclock

 

White caps starting to form just after 4:00 and the tide looks a hell of a lot higher than the tables suggest (11.9). I’m guessing that there’s a bit of coastal flooding adding to the height…

storm-4-oclock

 

First burst of wind at 4:40 and finally seeing the rollers coming in from Tacoma at 5:00…

storm-5-oclock

 

Almost 6:00 and only a few slurps over the bulkhead.Looks like we dodged a bullet as far as flooding is concerned on Beach Drive SW. Now it’s time to kick back & enjoy the show with a hot toddy.

Wet, Wind and Waves

Well we made it through last night without having to fire up our pumps. Now we are waiting for the next high tide later this afternoon when winds are anticipated to be strong.

Our next high tide is at predicted to be 11.64 feet around 4:11 pm today.

Here is Wind Alert’s graph showing wind predictions for the Lincoln Park area.

2016-10-14-wind

Check out the gust!!

Puget Sound Marine Forecast

PZZ135-141900-
PUGET SOUND AND HOOD CANAL-
258 AM PDT FRI OCT 14 2016

GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

TODAY
S WIND 25 TO 35 KT…BECOMING 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT…SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.

TONIGHT
S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. SHOWERS LIKELY.

SAT
S WIND 5 TO 15 KT…BECOMING SE 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS…BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

SAT NIGHT
SE WIND 35 TO 45 KT…BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 6 TO 8 FT…SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

The direction of the winds today, per The Weather Channel, are actually south southwest. This is more concerning for our home as we tend to flood with a SW wind (assuming the tide is high enough and winds are strong).

Our home will be “on alert” later this afternoon as our next opportunity to have water come over our bulkhead approaches with the high tide around 4:00 pm

But wait…it’s not over yet! We have Saturday’s storm which local forecasters are saying will be a whopper. 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
449 AM PDT FRI OCT 14 2016
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EVERETT AND VICINITY-TACOMA AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-
449 AM PDT FRI OCT 14 2016

…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING…
…HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT…
…HIGH WIND WARNING HAS ENDED…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY…
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND
WARNING HAS ENDED.

* TIMING…SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RISE AGAIN MIDDAY TODAY AND PEAK
THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING…THEN EASE TEMPORARILY
TONIGHT. A STRONGER STORM WILL ARRIVE SATURDAY EVENING WITH HIGH
WINDS LIKELY.

* WINDS…SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
TODAY…STRONGEST MIDDAY THROUGH AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS…THERE WERE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES OVERNIGHT…AND
MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE WINDS TODAY. TREE DAMAGE IS TYPICALLY
GREATER THIS EARLY IN THE SEASON…SO KEEP IN MIND THAT FALLING
LIMBS AND TREES ARE AN OCCASIONAL CAUSE OF INJURY AND FATALITY
DURING WESTERN WASHINGTON WINDSTORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 50 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT…ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH
WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH…OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH
OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

2016-10-15-tides
Saturday’s high tides are a 10.77 at 4:44 am and a 11.9 at 4:45 pm.

Stay safe, my friends! Looks like you may have a couple hours to prepare, if you haven’t already.

Storms anticipated to be worse than expected

The National Weather Service have recently updated the forecast for the storm coming in tonight and the following storm on Saturday. [Read more…]

High Wind Warning starts 6:00 pm tonight

From the National Weather Service: [Read more…]

Updated Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
939 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2016 [Read more…]

Barking Dog Report: High Winds, Rain and Waves

Barking-Dog-ReportIt’s been a while since we’ve issued a “Barking Dog Report”.  A “barking dog report” is something we post when we are preparing for possible flooding. Similar to a neighbor’s barking dog, there may be a real threat or it may not be. We spent yesterday getting pumps out and preparing for potential flooding (actually, it’s our standard winter prep for living on Puget Sound). [Read more…]