Watch for wicked wind and waves…

We are preparing for a possible weather event at our home. It seems autumn is officially here and may be making up for what seemed to be an extended summer.

We have higher tides this weekend on the heals of the Hunter’s Moon. From NOAA:

2015-10-29_2019_tides

It’s predicted that at 8:10 tomorrow morning, we’ll have tides at 12.11 feet. Saturday morning we may see 11.93 feet at 9:06 am.

Check out the forecast from Wind Alert. It’s expected to be gusty tomorrow morning at high tide and winds are anticipate to pick up again Saturday morning, just in time for high tide with gusts around 45 mph.

2015-10-29_2018_wind_alert_sat

The Puget Sound Marine Forecast update at 3:01 this after noon has a small craft advisory through tomorrow (Friday) afternoon. And states: SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT IN  RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE  ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS FRI MORNING AND DISSIPATE. A SURFACE  TROUGH OR WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRI AFTERNOON.  A POTENTIALLY STRONGER SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE WATERS ON SATURDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH  FRIDAY AFTERNOON

 TONIGHT  S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. RAIN  LIKELY.  

FRI  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN.  

FRI NIGHT  S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. RAIN.  

SAT AND SAT NIGHT  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.  

SUN  S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT.  

SUN NIGHT  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

The National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch:

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST WASHINGTON AND WEST CENTRAL
  WASHINGTON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN NORTHWEST
  WASHINGTON...CLALLAM...GRAYS HARBOR...JEFFERSON...KITSAP...
  MASON...SKAGIT AND WHATCOM. IN WEST CENTRAL WASHINGTON...KING...
  LEWIS...PIERCE...SNOHOMISH AND THURSTON.

* FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

* A WET PATTERN WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.
  RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. 4
  TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY OVER THE MOUNTAINS FOR THE 48 HOUR
  PERIOD COVERING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. THIS WILL CAUSE SHARP RISES ON AREA RIVERS. MINOR
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE POSSIBLE ON SOME AREA RIVERS BY SATURDAY
  MORNING AND FLOODING CONCERNS FOR AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE INTO
  SUNDAY. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE MOUNT RAINIER AREA AND
  RIVERS FLOWING OUT OF THE PARK. SOME MODELS SHOW RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS WELL OVER A FOOT FOR THE 48 HOUR PERIOD ENDING SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON. THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE MORE SERIOUS FLOODING FOR
  RIVERS FLOWING OFF MOUNT RAINIER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING BUT
FLOODING IS NOT IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE READY TO ACT
QUICKLY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

 

Trick-or-Treaters should probably prepare with weather-proof goody bags!

Stay tuned.

 

Wind Advisory Issued

The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1137 AM PDT SAT OCT 10 2015

.A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS
AFTERNOON.

WAZ504-507-509-511-512-555-556-558-559-110000-
/O.EXB.KSEW.WI.Y.0007.151010T2000Z-151011T0000Z/
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EVERETT AND VICINITY-TACOMA AREA-
HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-
1137 AM PDT SAT OCT 10 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...FROM 1 PM UNTIL 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND WEAK TREES. POSSIBLE POWER
  INTERRUPTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.


Here's an updated graph from Wind Alert:
2015-10-10_1250

Puget Sound Marine Forecast 9:00 am update has a small craft advisory until 7:00 pm tonight.

TODAY
S WIND RISING TO 15 TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING…BECOMING
SW 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…BUILDING TO
3 TO 5 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT
SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…EASING TO 10 TO 20 KT DURING THE
EVENING. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING… THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

Seattle Forecast updated at 12:48 pm today:

…WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON…

REST OF TODAY…BREEZY. RAIN AT TIMES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

TONIGHT…SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING…THEN CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

SUNDAY…PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTH TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

…don’t forget, the next high tide is a 10.72 at 4:27 pm.

Wind and Waves Ahead

This morning was peaceful. Perhaps the calm before a storm. It looks like we are in for a very windy Saturday.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast

TODAY  S WIND 5 TO 15 KT…BECOMING 10 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE  OF RAIN IN THE MORNING…THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.

 TONIGHT  S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…BECOMING 5 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN.  

SAT  S WIND 5 TO 15 KT…RISING TO SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT IN THE  AFTERNOON.  WIND WAVES 2 FT OR LESS…BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  RAIN.

 SAT NIGHT  SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…EASING TO 5 TO 15 KT AFTER  MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT…SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS AFTER  MIDNIGHT.

Check out the blustery forecast from Wind Alert.

wind_10_09_2015

And last but not least… check out the high tides just shy of 11 feet. We have a 10.75 estimated at 4:04 pm today and 10.72 at 4:27 pm on Saturday. If the Wind Alert forecast is accurate, we could be dealing with gusts of 35 mph and higher during high tide on Saturday.

2015-10-09_1028_

National Weather Service Forecast

Today: Rain likely after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming south southwest 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind 7 to 17 mph.
Saturday: Rain. Patchy fog before 11am. High near 64. South wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 16 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: Rain likely before 11pm, then showers likely after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low around 55. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 22 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

The Seattle City forecast that I often post has not been updated since 4:00 am this morning. Once it’s updated, if I catch it, I’ll post it here.

Of course weather forecast change often so please check the links on the right column of Beach Drive Blog. By the way, check out the new tides widget we just added yesterday.

Stay safe!

Seattle Police Department Community Newsletter

Hot off the PDF press! The Seattle Police Department has released their community newsletter. You get your copy by clicking here.

This issue addresses:

  • An increase in package thefts. Tips on what you can do to prevent your goodies from being stolen from your porch.
  • What to do about noisy, rowdy neighbors.

Escape the Stench

This is just in from a Beach Drive neighbor, Mary:

West Seattle has a real treasure a short distance away from Beach Drive’s odoriferous low tides: The Arboretum at South Seattle College’s north end.  Leaves there are beginning to turn reds and yellows.  Amble the winding paths through pleasant-smelling shrubbery (e.g., Golden Elaeagnus).  The award-winning dwarf conifer collection also begins changing colors this fall. Free guided tours Oct. 10.

arboretum

Wind and Waves: Small Craft Advisory

A small craft advisory has been issued for Puget Sound through tonight. With gusts predicted around 30 mph and waves up to 3 to 5 feet, the weather and waves should be spectacular.

The National Weather Service:

Today
A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a high near 68. South wind 13 to 20 mph.
Tonight
Rain likely before 11pm. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph becoming east northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

From the Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

TODAY  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT…RISING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE  AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. A CHANCE OF RAIN.  

TONIGHT  SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING NW 10 TO 20 KT AFTER  MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE EVENING.

From Wind Alert  is showing potential gusts of 30 to 34 mph from  2pm to 5pm today.

2015-09-20_0758_wind_alert

High tide is predicted to be 9.5 at 11:00 am. As you can see from the chart above, we could have gusts of 25 at that time. Low tide is a 6.52 at 4:32 pm and then rising back to a 9.14 around 10:00 pm.

2015-09-20_0804_tides

Golf Balls on the Beach

Beach Drive neighbors Kathy Ludwick & Dan Callan asked to share this on the blog:
IMG_1797
Someone on our beautiful Puget Sound waterfront has been practicing their golf swing out over the beach. This is the third time we have collected them over the past year.
We have lived on this beach for 20+ years and have never seen this problem until now. As you can see from the two balls in the center of the photo, with time & tidal action they do fall apart. Which means more plastic in our oceans. Whoever is doing this, please stop. It’s not a harmless pastime in terms of the health of the Sound.
Thank you,
Kathy Ludwick & Dan Callan

Is this your boat?

It looks like a boat (guessing it’s a 18 foot Boston Whaler) has taken on water from today’s wind storm. This photo was submitted from a Beach Drive reader.

aug 29 boat storm

It’s listing a bit to port side, submerging the outboard motor.
There is a blue canvas on this white boat which is tied to a buoy. Best estimates is that the buoy and boat are by the 5400 to 6000 block of Beach Drive, in the cove north of Lincoln Park.

The Coast Guard has been called.

Wind, Waves and Rain

The weather forecast for tomorrow is concerning enough for us to pull anchor on our boats to move them to more protected areas. Here’s what we’re looking at that’s causing us to take this action:

We have a gale warning in effect through Sunday evening.

This is from the Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

 SAT  SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 KT…BECOMING S 25 TO 35 KT IN THE  AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 1 OR 2 FT…BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN THE  AFTERNOON. RAIN.  

SAT NIGHT  S WIND 10 TO 20 KT…EASING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT…SUBSIDING TO 1 FT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

The National Weather Service has issued a wind advisory.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM PDT SATURDAY. * TIMING…MIDDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS…SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * IMPACTS…DOWNED LIMBS AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT…ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

 

 

Saturday
Rain. High near 68. Breezy, with a northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming south 18 to 28 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night
Showers, mainly before 11pm. Low around 56. South wind 16 to 21 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
SATURDAY…WINDY…RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WIND AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

SATURDAY NIGHT…BREEZY. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING…THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A HALF INCH TO ONE INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

Tides will be rising from a -1.02 at 11:05 am tomorrow to an 11.73 at 5:47 pm tomorrow – just in time for the wind! From NOAA:

2015-08-28_1906

 

A small historic Beach Drive cottage connects to nauture

Editor’s Note: This post was submitted by Beach Drive neighbor, Janice Nyman.

At Douglas and Chilberg, right off of Beach Drive, Janice Nyman Architect of archiflora.com, and clients Kathy and Kevin Meyers, recently converted a historic old shop above a single-car garage into a 450 square foot cottage. The conversion included raising the shop’s roof, and adding a trapezoidal bay window to the existing structure.

Views are focused to the neighboring western red cedars.   Thanks go to Kevin Meyer’s who retained the original historic signage displayed in front of the cottage: “Lee’s Shop-The difficult I do now, the impossible takes longer.” “Built by Robert Hoffman brother of Lee 1920.”   These are certainly words of wisdom!

Floor plans show the original 1st floor garage, and 2nd floor conversion to a studio apartment.

cottage_plans_1

Interiors after the remodel of Lee’s shop

cottage 1 cottage 2