Updated Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
939 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2016 [Read more…]

Barking Dog Report: High Winds, Rain and Waves

Barking-Dog-ReportIt’s been a while since we’ve issued a “Barking Dog Report”.  A “barking dog report” is something we post when we are preparing for possible flooding. Similar to a neighbor’s barking dog, there may be a real threat or it may not be. We spent yesterday getting pumps out and preparing for potential flooding (actually, it’s our standard winter prep for living on Puget Sound). [Read more…]

High Winds hits West Seattle

This post has more recent updates towards the bottom.

Parts of Beach Drive are without power shortly after the winds came roaring in. Seattle City Light‘s map shows that 1638 homes on Beach Drive are without power due to a tree.

power outage March 13

It’s got to be a bumpy ride for folks on the ferry too. The Vashon – Fauntleroy Ferry run is showing wind speeds up to 49 mph. vashon ferry March 13

Wind Alert is forecasting that the strongest winds are with us now with gusts estimated up to 52 mph.
wind alert March 13

The High Wind Warning is in effect until 11:00 pm tonight. Got flashlights and candles ready?

Update 2:43 pm: Low tide is at 3:15 and estimated to be 0.02 and then we’ll head up to an est. 10.52 around 9:54 pm.

Update 3:37 pm: Scupper and I drove Beach Drive in search of the downed tree referenced in Seattle City Light’s map for the power outage – we did not see any down trees at that time.

City of Seattle has just updated their forecast:

330 PM PDT SUN MAR 13 2016

…HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING…
TONIGHT…VERY WINDY. SHOWERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WIND 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING THEN EASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:
235 PM PDT SUN MAR 13 2016

GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

TONIGHT
S WIND 35 TO 45 KT…BECOMING SW 20 TO 30 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 6 TO 8 FT…SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. SHOWERS
LIKELY.

Update 4:01 pm: Here’s a photo from our intrepid reporter, Scupper.
IMG_5583

Latest forecast from Wind Alert shows another round of strong winds potentially on the way.
winder alert march 13 pm

High Wind Watch upgraded to High Wind Warning

Update 4:08PM: The City of Seattle updated their forecast at 3:30 pm which includes a Coastal Flood Advisory tomorrow. Scupper, Beach Drive Blog’s other reporter wanted me to mention that other weather models we’ve found more accurate at times have gusts topping out at 43 at 5PM Sunday. It’ll be interesting to see which model prevails.

SEATTLE AND VICINITY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…SEATTLE…SHORELINE…FEDERAL WAY…
KENT
330 PM PST SAT MAR 12 2016

…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY…
…HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY…

TONIGHT…WINDY. SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH POSSIBLE…EXCEPT HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY…VERY WINDY. RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 25 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY NIGHT…VERY WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 25 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

**Beginning of the original post**

From the National Weather Service:


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
158 PM PST SAT MAR 12 2016

WAZ504-507-509-511-512-555-556-558-559-131100-
/O.UPG.KSEW.HW.A.0002.160313T1900Z-160314T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.W.0004.160313T1900Z-160314T0600Z/
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EVERETT AND VICINITY-TACOMA AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-
BELLEVUE AND VICINITY-SEATTLE AND VICINITY-BREMERTON AND VICINITY-
158 PM PST SAT MAR 12 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE HIGH
WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. STRONGEST
  WINDS WILL LIKELY BE LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
  POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH TO
  SOUTHWEST AND RISE...WITH STRONGEST WINDS REACHING 30 TO 45 MPH
  WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
  EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH LATE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE LIKELY.
  SOME DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE. REMEMBER THAT FALLING
  TREES AND TREE LIMBS CAN CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY OR DEATH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast was updated this morning:

 SUN  SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT...BECOMING SE 20 TO 30 KT IN THE  AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT. RAIN.  
SUN NIGHT  S WIND 35 TO 45 KT...BECOMING SW DURING THE EVENING.  WIND WAVES 6 TO 8 FT.

High Wind Watch Sunday

The National Weather Service has issued a High Wind Watch:

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

* TIMING...SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONGEST WINDS
  WILL LIKELY BE LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  AROUND 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES ARE
  POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. REMEMBER THAT
  FALLING TREES AND TREE LIMBS CAN CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY OR DEATH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH
WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH
OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.


High tides for Sunday are predicted to be 11.99 at 8:37 am and 10.52 at 9:54 pm. However, it's possible we could have "coastal flooding" as we do today and have had the last couple days, which will raise the tides even higher.
2016 March 12 tides

Seattle City Forecast:

…COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING…
…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT…

TODAY…BREEZY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE MORNING…THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH POSSIBLE… EXCEPT HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT…WINDY. SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH POSSIBLE…EXCEPT HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 30 MPH.

SUNDAY…WINDY…RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

SUNDAY NIGHT…VERY WINDY. RAIN AT TIMES IN THE EVENING…THEN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WIND 25 TO 40 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

MONDAY…WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH POSSIBLE. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

Puget Sound Marine Forecast:

  TODAY  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. RAIN IN THE  MORNING…THEN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF TSTMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  TONIGHT  S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT. A CHANCE OF  TSTMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.  

SUN  SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING E 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT. RAIN.  

SUN NIGHT  S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FT.

Charge up your cell phones, be safe and stay tuned! Should we lose power, we will be posting on Facebooknow might be a good time to “like” our Facebook page.

 

First Flood of 2016: Coastal Flood Warning in effect until 8:00 and Wind Advisory in effect until 4:00 pm today

The Coastal Flood Warning proved true for our home. We have been pumping out water that has come over our bulkhead since about 4:30 this morning. We are “lucky” that the winds were more south than southwest or we’d have a whole different scenario to contend with.

Please pardon my dark photos and videos!

It looks like somebody may have lost lost their “sail board” (or something like that).

March 10 2016 storm

I will be adding a couple more videos soon.

This video is just past high tide of 14.5 (higher than predicted).

And you can see from this video, that it’s still blowing… hubby just started the pump again.

The Coastal Flood warning remains in effect until 8:00 am this morning…only one more hour to go! Yippee!

We have a Wind Advisory in effect until 4:00 pm today.

Our next high tide is at 5:50 pm and is estimated at 11.42.

Now it’s time for Hitch to help with the clean up!
2016-03-10 06.52.07

I hope all our neighbors are fairing well!

Update 8:30 am:

Here’s a photo from Beach Drive neighbor, Rene, showing a log jam at the Harbor West Condos.
12805770_1277913518890929_455338651726437032_n

If you have a photo of today’s storm along Beach Drive and want to share it, let us know!

National Weather Service issues Coastal Flood Advisory for Seattle

The high tide I referenced in last night’s “barking dog” report has been bumped up to an estimated 14.3 feet at 5:38 am on Thursday morning. This coincides with gusts that are predicted from Wind Alert to have gusts up to 50 mph.

From the Coastal Flooding Advisory, issued at 3:12 am:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM PST
THURSDAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW IS LIKELY AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES...AUGMENTED BY UNUSUALLY LOW ATMOSPHERIC
PRESSURE...WILL LIKELY FLOOD VERY LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS.
FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE MINOR AND ONLY LAST A FEW HOURS AROUND
THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

THE TABLE BELOW GIVES TIME AND HEIGHT OF PREDICTED TIDES...THE
PREDICTED TIDAL ANOMALY DUE TO LOW PRESSURE AND OTHER FACTORS...
AND THE SUM OF THE PREDICTED TIDE AND THE PREDICTED ANOMALY.


STATION NAME: SEATTLE
DAY     TIME         PRED      ANOMALY     PRED + ANOMALY
THU     05:38 AM     12.44     ~ 1.9               14.3

Based on these predictions, we are pulling out our pumps today just in case we flood early tomorrow morning. It may be a good idea to check on your waterfront neighbors to make sure they’re aware of the potential flooding.

There is also a Small Craft Advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon.

Potential “Barking Dog” Report: High Winds and Waves

Barking-Dog-ReportIf you are a long time reader of Beach Drive Blog, you are familiar with the “barking dog” report. A “barking dog” report is when we are preparing to possibly flood from waves breaching our bulkhead. It’s called a “barking dog” because, much like a neighbor’s barking dog – it could be much ado about nothing. We are not professional weather people – we do care about our neighbors and will “bark” if we see what we think is enough warning. And, like your neighbor’s barking dog, we’re not always right.

So… this is what we’re looking at right now and this is subject to change (please check links on the right for updated forecast).

First of all, we have some very high tides in the next couple of days, paired with the strong winds. This chart is from NOAA.

March 8 2016 tides

Now check out this chart from Wind Alert for Alki Point.

march 8 2016 wind

This is concerning.

We have an 11.39 on Wednesday at 4:56 pm… what seems to be more concerning is the next high tide estimated at 12.44 at 5:38 am on Thursday when it’s predicted we may have gusts up to 50 mph.

Puget Sound Marine forecast:

 WED NIGHT  SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING S 20 TO 30 KT AFTER  MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 5 FT. RAIN.  

THU  S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT.  

THU NIGHT  SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT…BECOMING S 10 TO 20 KT AFTER  MIDNIGHT. WIND WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

If for nothing else, this is a good reason to make sure you are prepared for potential flooding and to check on neighbors – make sure they know about this potential storm.

I hope this is a big to-do about nothing.

King Tides coming next Week

We have extra high tides (aka King Tides) predicted next week.

  • Wednesday, January 13th at 7:35 AM: 12.9
  • Thursday, January 14th at 8:14 AM: 13
  • Friday, January 15th at 8:55 AM: 12.9

Hopefully it will be as sunny and calm as it is today. Although it was a spectacular sight along Alki with last month’s King Tide.

Wind and Rain this Week

2015 Nov 8 drain

We’re being deluged with rain and wind this week from sweet ol’ Mother Nature. This sewer drain is now a water feature by 5400 Beach Drive.

The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory until 3:00 pm today and we’re just at high tide as I write this post.

It’s a great evening to be hunkered in by the fireplace. 🙂